{"id":17290,"date":"2020-12-04T16:36:39","date_gmt":"2020-12-04T09:36:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/reti.vn\/blog\/?p=17290"},"modified":"2021-01-20T11:52:13","modified_gmt":"2021-01-20T04:52:13","slug":"buc-tranh-toan-canh-thi-truong-bat-dong-san-viet-nam","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/reti.vn\/blog\/buc-tranh-toan-canh-thi-truong-bat-dong-san-viet-nam\/","title":{"rendered":"B\u1ee9c tranh to\u00e0n c\u1ea3nh th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng B\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n Vi\u1ec7t Nam"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
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Nh\u00ecn l\u1ea1i ch\u1eb7ng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng l\u1ecbch s\u1eed k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb gi\u1eefa th\u1eadp ni\u00ean 90, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng giai \u0111o\u1ea1n t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng n\u00f3ng, theo sau \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 th\u1eddi k\u1ef3 suy gi\u1ea3m v\u00e0 \u0111\u00f3ng b\u0103ng, h\u1ed3i ph\u1ee5c tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch r\u1ef1c r\u1ee1 v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ebfn n\u1eeda \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2020 l\u1ea1i ch\u1eefng l\u1ea1i do \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a d\u1ecbch b\u1ec7nh.<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

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N\u0103m 1995 \u0111\u00e1nh d\u1ea5u c\u1ed9t m\u1ed1c ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t quan tr\u1ecdng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Vi\u1ec7t Nam, khi c\u00f9ng l\u00fac b\u00ecnh th\u01b0\u1eddng h\u00f3a quan h\u1ec7 v\u1edbi Hoa K\u1ef3 v\u00e0 gia nh\u1eadp v\u00e0o c\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ed3ng c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1 (ASEAN). Th\u1eddi k\u1ef3 n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c coi l\u00e0 giai \u0111o\u1ea1n ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam. Vi\u1ec7c t\u1eeb n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch h\u00f3a t\u1eadp trung sang v\u1eadn h\u00e0nh theo c\u01a1 ch\u1ebf th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u00e3 t\u1ea1o ra nh\u1eefng b\u01b0\u1edbc ti\u1ebfn v\u01b0\u1ee3t b\u1eadc, l\u00e0m thay \u0111\u1ed5i c\u1ea3 n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Theo s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u c\u1ee7a T\u1ed5ng c\u1ee5c Th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea, Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u1ea1t t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng tr\u00ean 9% \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u00e0o c\u00e1c n\u0103m 1995 v\u00e0 1996 , t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u1ee9ng v\u1edbi ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 GDP b\u00ecnh qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ea7u ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c 277 USD (1995) v\u00e0 324 USD (1996). L\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c 12,7% (n\u0103m 1995) xu\u1ed1ng m\u1ee9c 4,5% (1996) v\u00e0 3,6% (1997).<\/p>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n

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\u0110\u00e2y c\u0169ng ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 kho\u1ea3ng th\u1eddi gian c\u1ef1c th\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n, GDP t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng m\u1ea1nh khi\u1ebfn ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n tin v\u00e0o t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai s\u00e1ng l\u1ea1n c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf \u0111\u00e3 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y gi\u00e1 nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea5t t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh. Do b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u m\u1edf c\u1eeda h\u1ed9i nh\u1eadp, cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh, ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 x\u1ea3y ra n\u0103m 1997 \u2013 1998 \u1edf khu v\u1ef1c Ch\u00e2u \u00c1 c\u0169ng c\u00f3 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u1ebfn n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf Vi\u1ec7t Nam.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 S\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u c\u1ee7a T\u1ed5ng c\u1ee5c Th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea c\u0169ng ch\u1ec9 ra r\u1eb1ng t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf \u0111\u1ebfn n\u0103m 1998 ch\u1ec9 \u1edf m\u1ee9c 5,76%, trong khi \u0111\u00f3 l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t n\u0103m 1998 l\u00ean m\u1ee9c 9,2%. Tuy nhi\u00ean, do \u0111\u1ed9 m\u1edf c\u1eeda ch\u01b0a cao v\u00e0 m\u1eb7t kh\u00e1c do c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ed9ng \u1ee9ng ph\u00f3 t\u1eeb trong n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00ean Vi\u1ec7t Nam kh\u00f4ng nh\u1eefng kh\u00f4ng b\u1ecb cu\u1ed1n v\u00e0o v\u00f2ng xo\u00e1y, m\u00e0 c\u00f2n v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

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Nh\u1eefng n\u0103m cu\u1ed1i th\u1ebf k\u1ef7 XX \u0111\u1ea7u th\u1ebf k\u1ef7 XXI \u0111\u00e1nh d\u1ea5u vi\u1ec7c Vi\u1ec7t Nam t\u00edch c\u1ef1c h\u1ed9i nh\u1eadp kinh t\u1ebf m\u00e0 \u0111\u1ec9nh cao l\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c k\u00fd hi\u1ec7p \u0111\u1ecbnh gia nh\u1eadp Hi\u1ec7p \u0111\u1ecbnh Th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i Vi\u1ec7t-M\u1ef9 v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2001 v\u00e0 T\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c Th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i Th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi WTO (n\u0103m 2006). Vi\u1ec7t Nam th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u00ed nh\u01b0 con h\u1ed5 kinh t\u1ebf trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai g\u1ea7n, v\u1edbi ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 GDP b\u00ecnh qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ea7u ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c 396 USD v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2000. Theo d\u00f2ng ch\u1ea3y c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch v\u0129 m\u00f4 c\u1ee7a Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n c\u0169ng tr\u1ea3i qua nhi\u1ec1u th\u0103ng tr\u1ea7m.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

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Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u chuy\u1ec3n m\u00ecnh v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2000 v\u00e0 b\u00f9ng n\u1ed5 v\u00e0o giai \u0111o\u1ea1n 2001-2002, v\u1edbi t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP<\/a> l\u1ea7n l\u01b0\u1ee3t \u0111\u1ea1t 6,79% n\u0103m 2000 v\u00e0 6,89% n\u0103m 2001 v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd nh\u1ea5t v\u00e0o c\u00e1c n\u0103m 2004-2007. Nh\u1edd v\u00e0o nh\u1eefng t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u kh\u1ea3 quan c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi, s\u1ef1 k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng v\u00e0o chu k\u1ef3 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf Vi\u1ec7t Nam v\u00e0 d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i li\u00ean t\u1ee5c r\u00f3t v\u00e0o th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng. C\u00e1c ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch c\u1ee7a Nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc c\u0169ng g\u00f3p ph\u1ea7n th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 th\u1ed5i b\u00f9ng c\u01a1n s\u1ed1t gi\u00e1. Gi\u00e1 c\u1ea3 v\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch trong nh\u1eefng n\u0103m n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ec1u t\u0103ng cao trong khi b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh k\u00eanh \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 thu h\u00fat r\u1ea5t nhi\u1ec1u t\u1ea7ng l\u1edbp tham gia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

V\u1edbi 2 c\u01a1n s\u1ed1t nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea5t v\u00e0o c\u00e1c n\u0103m 2001-2003 v\u00e0 2007-2008, gi\u00e1 nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea5t t\u0103ng l\u00ean nhi\u1ec1u l\u1ea7n, ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n v\u01b0\u1ee3t kh\u1ecfi t\u1ea7m v\u1edbi c\u1ee7a nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi c\u00f3 thu nh\u1eadp t\u1eeb th\u1ea5p \u0111\u1ebfn trung b\u00ecnh t\u1ea1i c\u00e1c th\u00e0nh ph\u1ed1 l\u1edbn nh\u01b0 H\u00e0 N\u1ed9i hay TP.HCM.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

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Gi\u1eefa n\u0103m 2008, chu k\u1ef3 kinh t\u1ebf m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n n\u1eefa lao d\u1ed1c, b\u1eaft ngu\u1ed3n t\u1eeb kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u, k\u00e9o theo \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 chu k\u1ef3 tho\u00e1i tr\u00e0o c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n. \u1ede Vi\u1ec7t Nam, nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea5t s\u1ee5t gi\u00e1, gi\u1ea3m \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh 30-40% ch\u1ec9 trong th\u1eddi gian ng\u1eafn.T\u1ed3n kho b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n n\u0103m 2012 l\u00ean t\u1edbi tr\u00ean 100.000 t\u1ef7 \u0111\u00f4\u0300ng. N\u1ee3 x\u1ea5u c\u1ee7a nhi\u1ec1u doanh nghi\u1ec7p b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n c\u00f3 nguy c\u01a1 t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt. L\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t b\u00f9ng n\u1ed5 khi\u1ebfn Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc ph\u1ea3i th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7.K\u1ec3 t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2012, c\u01a1 quan qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd \u0111\u00e3 n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c ban h\u00e0nh nhi\u1ec1u ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch v\u00e0 c\u00e1c g\u00f3i k\u00edch c\u1ea7u kinh t\u1ebf nh\u1eb1m thu h\u00fat \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0 th\u00e1o g\u1ee1 kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n cho th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

K\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 l\u00e0, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng chuy\u1ec3n bi\u1ebfn t\u00edch c\u1ef1c. Vi\u1ec7c kh\u1ed1i doanh nghi\u1ec7p \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 doanh nghi\u1ec7p \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n c\u00e1c d\u1ef1 \u00e1n nh\u00e0 \u1edf x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i, nh\u00e0 \u1edf th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i gi\u00e1 r\u1ebb \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u1ea3m ngh\u0129a v\u1ee5 t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi g\u00f3i t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng 30 ngh\u00ecn t\u1ef7 \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u01b0a ra \u0111\u00e3 t\u1eebng b\u01b0\u1edbc gi\u00fap th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n Vi\u1ec7t Nam d\u1ea7n ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i d\u00f9 t\u1ed3n kho b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n v\u1eabn c\u00f2n nhi\u1ec1u v\u00e0 ch\u01b0a \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft h\u1ebft.<\/p>\n<\/div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

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S\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u m\u1edbi nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a World Bank cho th\u1ea5y n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf Vi\u1ec7t Nam ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c cho th\u1ea5y n\u00ea\u0300n ta\u0309ng m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd v\u00e0 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ch\u00f4\u0301ng chi\u0323u cao, nh\u1edd nhu c\u1ea7u trong n\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u01b0\u1edbng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u v\u00e2\u0303n \u01a1\u0309 m\u01b0\u0301c cao trong hai n\u0103m tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i \u0111\u00e2y.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

S\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u s\u01a1 b\u1ed9 cho th\u1ea5y GDP th\u1ef1c t\u0103ng kho\u1ea3ng 7% trong n\u0103m 2019, g\u1ea7n v\u1edbi t\u1ec9 l\u1ec7 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng n\u0103m 2018 v\u00e0 Vi\u00ea\u0323t Nam l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng qu\u1ed1c gia c\u00f3 t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng cao nh\u1ea5t trong khu v\u1ef1c. Do h\u1ed9i nh\u1eadp kinh t\u1ebf s\u00e2u r\u1ed9ng, Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u0169ng ch\u1ecbu \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng n\u1eb7ng n\u1ec1 b\u1edfi \u0111\u1ea1i d\u1ecbch Covid-19. Tuy nhi\u00ean, t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng y t\u00ea\u0301 c\u1ee7a d\u1ecbch b\u1ec7nh kh\u00f4ng nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng nh\u01b0 nhi\u1ec1u qu\u1ed1c gia kh\u00e1c, nh\u1edd c\u00f3 c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p \u0111\u1ed1i ph\u00f3 ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ed9ng \u1edf c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c c\u1ea5p trung \u01b0\u01a1ng v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ecba ph\u01b0\u01a1ng.
Trong khi kinh t\u1ebf v\u0129 m\u00f4 v\u00e0 t\u00e0i kh\u00f3a \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP \u01b0\u01a1\u0301c \u0111a\u0323t 3,8% trong qu\u00fd \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2020. Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n ch\u00e2u \u00c1 (ADB) c\u0169ng d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o GDP Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng 4,1% trong n\u0103m 2020. M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 con s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n 0,7% so v\u1edbi d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o th\u00e1ng 4 c\u1ee7a ADB, song \u0111\u00e2y v\u1eabn l\u00e0 m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng cao nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng t\u1ea1i \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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\u00d4ng Neil MacGregor, T\u1ed5ng gi\u00e1m \u0111\u1ed1c Savills Vi\u1ec7t Nam<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n
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Nh\u00ecn l\u1ea1i ch\u1eb7ng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng l\u1ecbch s\u1eed k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb gi\u1eefa th\u1eadp ni\u00ean 90, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng giai \u0111o\u1ea1n t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng n\u00f3ng, theo sau \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 th\u1eddi k\u1ef3 suy gi\u1ea3m v\u00e0 \u0111\u00f3ng b\u0103ng, h\u1ed3i ph\u1ee5c tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch r\u1ef1c r\u1ee1 v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ebfn n\u1eeda \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2020 l\u1ea1i ch\u1eefng l\u1ea1i […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":36,"featured_media":17371,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"tdm_status":"","tdm_grid_status":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[91],"tags":[311],"class_list":{"0":"post-17290","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-emagazine","8":"tag-noi-bat"},"external_url":"","featured_image_url":"https:\/\/reti.vn\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/12\/unnamed.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/reti.vn\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17290","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/reti.vn\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/reti.vn\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/reti.vn\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/36"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/reti.vn\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=17290"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/reti.vn\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17290\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/reti.vn\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17371"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/reti.vn\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=17290"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/reti.vn\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=17290"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/reti.vn\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=17290"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}