{"id":35519,"date":"2023-01-05T21:00:16","date_gmt":"2023-01-05T14:00:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/reti.vn\/blog\/?p=35519"},"modified":"2025-10-22T04:29:17","modified_gmt":"2025-10-21T21:29:17","slug":"phan-tich-nhan-dinh-thi-truong-bat-dong-san-trong-nam-2023","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/reti.vn\/blog\/phan-tich-nhan-dinh-thi-truong-bat-dong-san-trong-nam-2023\/","title":{"rendered":"Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n trong n\u0103m 2023"},"content":{"rendered":"

B\u01b0\u1edbc sang n\u0103m m\u1edbi 2023 v\u1edbi nhi\u1ec1u m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau, nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 \u0111ang r\u1ea5t n\u00f3ng l\u00f2ng t\u00ecm hi\u1ec3u v\u1ec1 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n 2023 \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0a ra quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u00fang \u0111\u1eafn nh\u1ea5t cho d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m m\u1edbi. Li\u1ec7u th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n n\u0103m m\u1edbi s\u1ebd \u201cn\u1edf hoa\u201d hay \u201cb\u1ebf t\u1eafc\u201d. H\u00e3y c\u00f9ng RETI ph\u00e2n t\u00edch nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbch th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n trong n\u0103m 2023 trong b\u00e0i vi\u1ebft d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y!<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

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Phan tich thi truong bat dong san Viet Nam 2023<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

T<\/span>o\u00e0n c\u1ea3nh th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n n\u0103m 2023<\/span><\/p>\n

Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n 2022 \u0111\u00e3 kh\u00e9p l\u1ea1i v\u1edbi c\u1ea3 n\u1ed1t th\u0103ng v\u00e0 n\u1ed1t tr\u1ea7m. Sau giai \u0111o\u1ea1n m\u1edf m\u00e0n giao d\u1ecbch s\u00f4i \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a qu\u00fd I, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1ea7n gi\u1ea3m t\u1ed1c trong c\u00e1c qu\u00fd c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t v\u00e0o th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m.<\/span><\/p>\n

Th\u00f4ng tin h\u1eefu \u00edch: C\u01a1 h\u1ed9i th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng cho nh\u1eefng nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 kh\u00f4n ngoan<\/a><\/p>\n

Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n trong n\u0103m 2023, ph\u00eda B\u1ed9 X\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng v\u00e0 nhi\u1ec1u chuy\u00ean gia \u0111\u1ec1u chung nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh, l\u1ec7ch pha cung – c\u1ea7u \u0111ang l\u00e0 nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n khi\u1ebfn nh\u00e0 \u1edf ch\u1ed7 th\u1eeba v\u1eabn th\u1eeba, ch\u1ed7 thi\u1ebfu v\u1eabn thi\u1ebfu. C\u00e1c con s\u1ed1 t\u1ed5ng h\u1ee3p v\u1eeba r\u1ed3i c\u0169ng cho th\u1ea5y, nh\u00e0 \u1edf gi\u00e1 cao \u0111ang kh\u00f3 b\u00e1n, c\u00f2n nh\u00e0 gi\u00e1 v\u1eeba t\u00fai ti\u1ec1n l\u1ea1i g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 v\u1eafng b\u00f3ng.<\/span><\/p>\n

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Theo ph\u00e2n t\u00edch th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n \u0111ang \u201cl\u1ec7ch pha\u201d nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng khi h\u00e0 \u1edf ch\u1ed7 th\u1eeba v\u1eabn th\u1eeba, ch\u1ed7 thi\u1ebfu v\u1eabn thi\u1ebfu<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

\u0110\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 th\u1ef1c tr\u1ea1ng s\u1ee9c kh\u1ecfe hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n, Ch\u00e1nh v\u0103n ph\u00f2ng Nguy\u1ec5n M\u1ea1nh Qu\u1ef3nh cho bi\u1ebft th\u00eam, ngu\u1ed3n cung h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p. Trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh nhu c\u1ea7u duy tr\u00ec \u1edf m\u1ee9c cao, n\u00ean \u0111\u00e3 t\u1ea1o ra m\u1ed9t th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng l\u1ec7ch pha, b\u1ea5t h\u1ee3p l\u00fd v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng th\u1ef1c ch\u1ea5t. \u0110\u00e1ng ch\u00fa \u00fd, trong kho\u1ea3ng hai n\u0103m qua, c\u00f3 h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0n d\u1ef1 \u00e1n \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p tri\u1ec3n khai, \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 tr\u00ean c\u1ea3 n\u01b0\u1edbc ph\u1ea3i d\u1eebng l\u1ea1i \u0111\u1ec3 xem x\u00e9t s\u1ef1 ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u1ec1 ph\u00e1p l\u00fd v\u1edbi gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb \u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u1ea1t kho\u1ea3ng 30 t\u1ef7 USD. S\u1ef1 vi\u1ec7c n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng h\u01a1n t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh \u0111\u00f3ng b\u0103ng t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n.<\/span><\/p>\n

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C\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia \u0111\u01b0a ra nh\u1eefng \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 v\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng n\u0103m nay t\u1ea1i bu\u1ed5i T\u1ecda \u0111\u00e0m<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, \u0111i\u1ec3m s\u00e1ng l\u00e0 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng s\u1ebd c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 s\u00e0ng l\u1ecdc, t\u00e1i c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac v\u00e0 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i d\u1ea7n t\u1eeb qu\u00fd III\/2023. C\u00e1c v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 v\u1ec1 ngu\u1ed3n cung v\u00e0 ph\u00e1p l\u00fd c\u0169ng d\u1ea7n d\u1ea7n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u00e1o g\u1ee1. B\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ea5t n\u1ec1n, khu c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p, nh\u00e0 \u1edf ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh v\u00e0 kh\u1ea3 quan. Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u1edf n\u00ean l\u00e0nh m\u1ea1nh, th\u1ef1c ch\u1ea5t v\u00e0 b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng h\u01a1n.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u0110\u1ecdc th\u00eam: B\u1ea3n tin b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n m\u1edbi nh\u1ea5t 2023<\/a><\/p>\n

Theo ph\u00e2n t\u00edch th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n n\u0103m 2023 v\u1eabn s\u1ebd c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng \u0111i\u1ec3m t\u00edch c\u1ef1c \u201cc\u1ee9u v\u00e3n\u201d s\u1ef1 \u201cxu\u1ed1ng c\u1ea5p\u201d \u1edf n\u0103m 2022 khi c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c m\u1edbi do b\u1ed9 ba lu\u1eadt: Lu\u1eadt \u0110\u1ea5t \u0111ai, Lu\u1eadt Nh\u00e0 \u1edf, Lu\u1eadt Kinh doanh B\u0110S \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1eeda \u0111\u1ed5i; xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n th\u00eam nhi\u1ec1u y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 thu\u1eadn l\u1ee3i khi t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh kinh t\u1ebf th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi v\u00e0 trong n\u01b0\u1edbc \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh, d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n FDI ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ed5 v\u00e0o th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/span><\/p>\n

C\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 th\u00e1o g\u1ee1 \u0111\u1ea9y nhanh c\u00e1c th\u1ee7 t\u1ee5c ph\u00ea duy\u1ec7t \u0111\u00e3 v\u00e0 \u0111ang \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n tuy nhi\u00ean vi\u1ec7c ho\u00e0n thi\u1ec7n khung ph\u00e1p l\u00fd nh\u01b0 \u0111\u00e3 tr\u00ecnh b\u00e0y \u1edf tr\u00ean d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u00f4ng qua v\u00e0o th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m qu\u00fd 4\/2023. C\u00e1c t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ec1u c\u00f3 s\u1ebd \u0111\u1ed9 tr\u1ec5. Ngu\u1ed3n cung m\u1edbi s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m s\u1ebd nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n trong n\u0103m 2023. C\u00e1c ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 s\u1ebd c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c c\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed1i chi ph\u00ed \u0111\u1ea7u v\u00e0o v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 b\u00e1n \u0111\u1ea7u ra do chi ph\u00ed \u0111\u1ea7u v\u00e0o \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 l\u00e0 kh\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00e1c h\u1ea1ng m\u1ee5c trong khi ng\u01b0\u1eddi mua n\u0103m 2023 s\u1ebd xem x\u00e9t k\u1ef9 l\u01b0\u1ee1ng v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 gi\u00e1 do c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng quan ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng gi\u00e1 b\u1ecb thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp \u1edf m\u1ee9c cao, ch\u01b0a \u0111\u01b0a v\u1ec1 m\u1ee9c h\u1ee3p l\u00fd.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng n\u0103m nay cho th\u1ea5y s\u1ebd gia t\u0103ng nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n c\u00e1c giao d\u1ecbch mua b\u00e1n s\u00e1p nh\u1eadp. \u0110\u1ea7u t\u01b0 b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n mang t\u00ednh d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n. L\u00fac n\u00e0y s\u1ebd c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng b\u00ean c\u00f3 d\u1ef1 \u00e1n m\u00e0 thi\u1ebfu ngu\u1ed3n l\u1ef1c t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh ho\u1eb7c kinh nghi\u1ec7m ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 nhanh ch\u00f3ng k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c m\u1ea1nh v\u1ec1 c\u00e1c kh\u00eda c\u1ea1nh n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ec3 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c tham gia v\u00e0o th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng. Mua \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 \u00e1n v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c gi\u00e1 h\u1ee3p l\u00fd v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 quy\u1ebft t\u00e2m cao trong vi\u1ec7c th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y giao d\u1ecbch th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng thay v\u00ec t\u00e2m l\u00fd gi\u1eef nh\u01b0 tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y s\u1ebd l\u00e0 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn.<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u0103m 2023 s\u1ebd kh\u00f3 c\u00f3 ph\u00e2n kh\u00fac n\u00e0o \u201cl\u00ean ng\u00f4i\u201d cao nh\u1ea5t. C\u01a1 h\u1ed9i chia \u0111\u1ec1u cho c\u00e1c d\u1ef1 \u00e1n th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 quan t\u00e2m \u0111\u1ebfn ch\u1ea5t l\u01b0\u1ee3ng, gi\u00e1 c\u1ea3 h\u1ee3p l\u00fd, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c qua vi\u1ec7c tr\u1ea3i nghi\u1ec7m s\u1ed1ng v\u00e0 l\u00e0m vi\u1ec7c. C\u00e1c s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111\u1ebfn ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng, xanh, th\u00f4ng minh\u2026 s\u1ebd gia t\u0103ng s\u1ef1 thu h\u00fat \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi kh\u00e1ch h\u00e0ng.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh v\u1ec1 b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n<\/span><\/h2>\n

Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n \u0111ang ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb – x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 t\u1eeb th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh \u0111ang \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp v\u00e0 s\u00e2u s\u1eafc nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ebfn th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ecba \u1ed1c. Nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u1ea7n hi\u1ec3u r\u00f5 v\u1ec1 nh\u1eefng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u s\u00e2u ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0a ra nh\u1eefng quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 \u0111\u00fang \u0111\u1eafn nh\u1ea5t trong n\u0103m m\u1edbi<\/span><\/p>\n

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Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh v\u1ec1 b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n n\u0103m 2023<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

C\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n<\/span><\/p>\n

Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng cho th\u1ea5y c\u00f3 6 v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1edbn \u0111\u1ebfn th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng B\u0110S l\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf v\u0129 m\u00f4, ph\u00e1p l\u00fd v\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u ti\u1ebft qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd, quan h\u1ec7 cung c\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 g\u1eafn v\u1edbi gi\u00e1 mua b\u00e1n B\u0110S, t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh B\u0110S, quy ho\u1ea1ch v\u00e0 c\u01a1 s\u1edf h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng, th\u00f4ng tin, d\u1eef li\u1ec7u v\u00e0 t\u00ednh minh b\u1ea1ch c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/span><\/p>\n

D\u00e0nh ri\u00eang cho b\u1ea1n: \u00a0\u201cM\u00e1ch n\u01b0\u1edbc\u201d cho nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 B\u0110S trong m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t t\u0103ng cao<\/a><\/p>\n

T\u1eeb th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf n\u0103m 2022 v\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng n\u0103m 2023 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u1ea5y r\u00f5 ngu\u1ed3n v\u1ed1n v\u00e0 ph\u00e1p l\u00fd \u0111ang k\u00ecm h\u00e3m s\u1ef1 b\u00f9ng n\u1ed5 c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n. \u0110\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t trong n\u0103m nay, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n Vi\u1ec7t Nam d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o s\u1ebd \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi nhi\u1ec1u bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1eeb th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh d\u01b0\u1edbi g\u00f3c \u0111\u1ed9 chuy\u00ean gia, \u00f4ng Tr\u1ea7n Kim Chung, nguy\u00ean Ph\u00f3 Vi\u1ec7n tr\u01b0\u1edfng Vi\u1ec7n Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd kinh t\u1ebf Trung \u01b0\u01a1ng cho r\u1eb1ng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n s\u1ebd c\u00f3 g\u00f3c nh\u00ecn t\u00edch c\u1ef1c h\u01a1n b\u1edfi v\u1ed1n n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c “r\u00f3t” v\u00e0o Vi\u1ec7t Nam. Khi \u0111\u00f3, v\u1ed1n trong n\u01b0\u1edbc s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u00edch ho\u1ea1t v\u00e0 h\u1ea5p thu \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u00f3n ch\u1edd m\u1ed9t chu k\u1ef3 \u0111i l\u00ean m\u1edbi. Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua “\u0111i\u1ec3m l\u00f5m,” \u00f4ng Chung ph\u00e2n t\u00edch. K\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 x\u1ea3y ra nh\u01b0ng x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t th\u1ea5p v\u00ec c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n n\u1eb1m ngo\u00e0i kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf Vi\u1ec7t Nam.<\/span><\/p>\n

V\u1edbi k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c h\u01a1n, \u00f4ng Chung cho r\u1eb1ng kinh t\u1ebf th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n v\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf trong n\u01b0\u1edbc b\u1ecb \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi v\u1edbi kinh t\u1ebf v\u0129 m\u00f4 di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn \u0111i ngang. Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n s\u1ebd \u0111i xu\u1ed1ng do c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n n\u1ee3 \u0111\u1ebfn h\u1ea1n, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu doanh nghi\u1ec7p. N\u1ebfu kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 kho\u1ea3n ti\u1ec1n \u0111\u00e1p \u1ee9ng y\u00eau c\u1ea7u tr\u1ea3 l\u00e3i v\u00e0 t\u1ea5t to\u00e1n, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n b\u1eaft bu\u1ed9c ph\u1ea3i \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh gi\u1ea3m \u0111\u1ec3 c\u01a1 c\u1ea5u l\u1ea1i th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng. Theo \u00f4ng Chung, k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n n\u00e0y kh\u00f3 x\u1ea3y ra nh\u01b0ng kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 x\u1ea3y ra.<\/span><\/p>\n

B\u00ean c\u1ea1nh \u0111\u00f3, \u00d4ng Chung c\u0169ng cho r\u1eb1ng c\u1ea7n ch\u00fa \u00fd \u0111\u1ebfn l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t, l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00e0 t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1; t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n; gi\u1ea3i ng\u00e2n v\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f4ng; \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i; xu\u1ea5t nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u…<\/span><\/p>\n

T\u00ecm hi\u1ec3u ngay: D\u1ef1 B\u00e1o Th\u1ecb Tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ea7u N\u0103m 2023<\/a><\/p>\n

\u0110\u1ed3ng quan \u0111i\u1ec3m khi ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh, TS. C\u1ea5n V\u0103n L\u1ef1c, Chuy\u00ean gia Kinh t\u1ebf tr\u01b0\u1edfng BIDV & Th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean H\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ed3ng T\u01b0 v\u1ea5n Ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch T\u00e0i ch\u00ednh – ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 Qu\u1ed1c gia cho r\u1eb1ng, v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 thanh kho\u1ea3n c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu doanh nghi\u1ec7p v\u00e0 r\u1ee7i ro li\u00ean th\u00f4ng gi\u1eefa th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng n\u00e0y v\u1edbi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n s\u1ebd l\u00e0 r\u1ee7i ro mang t\u00ednh tr\u1ecdng y\u1ebfu trong n\u0103m 2023-2024. \u0110\u1ea1i di\u1ec7n BIDV \u0111\u1ec1 xu\u1ea5t Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u1ea1o c\u00f3 ph\u01b0\u01a1ng \u00e1n, gi\u1ea3i ph\u00e1p c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3, kh\u1ea3 thi gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft r\u1ee7i ro TPDN n\u00e0y. \u201cCh\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 c\u1ea7n cho s\u1eeda \u0111\u1ed5i quy \u0111\u1ecbnh ph\u00e1p lu\u1eadt v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 “c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng” v\u00e0 ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p gi\u1eefa “ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t” r\u1ee7i ro v\u00e0 “h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3” ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n l\u00e0nh m\u1ea1nh\u201d \u2013 \u00f4ng L\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ec1 ngh\u1ecb.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"\"
TS. C\u1ea5n V\u0103n L\u1ef1c, Chuy\u00ean gia Kinh t\u1ebf tr\u01b0\u1edfng BIDV & Th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean H\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ed3ng T\u01b0 v\u1ea5n Ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch T\u00e0i ch\u00ednh – ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 Qu\u1ed1c gia \u0111\u01b0a ra ph\u00e2n t\u00edch th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng\u00a0<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Hai nh\u00f3m ng\u00e0nh ph\u00e1t h\u00e0nh tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu doanh nghi\u1ec7p (TPDN) nhi\u1ec1u nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i (NHTM) v\u00e0 b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n. Trong \u0111\u00f3, TPDN \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u00e1t h\u00e0nh b\u1edfi c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i h\u1ea7u nh\u01b0 r\u1ea5t \u00edt r\u1ee7i ro, do \u0111\u1eb7c th\u00f9 ri\u00eang, ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u00e1t h\u00e0nh b\u1edfi c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng c\u00f3 quy m\u00f4 l\u1edbn, k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 kinh doanh kh\u00e1 t\u1ed1t v\u00e0 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh.<\/span><\/p>\n

B\u00ean c\u1ea1nh \u0111\u00f3, t\u00ednh c\u00f4ng khai, minh b\u1ea1ch \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o do c\u00e1c \u0111a s\u1ed1 NHTM \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ki\u1ec3m to\u00e1n \u0111\u1ed9c l\u1eadp, ki\u1ec3m to\u00e1n qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf v\u00e0 ni\u00eam y\u1ebft tr\u00ean s\u00e0n ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n; vi\u1ec7c ph\u00e1t h\u00e0nh tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu c\u1ee7a NHTM ph\u1ea3i tu\u00e2n th\u1ee7 c\u00e1c quy \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u1eb7t ch\u1ebd c\u1ee7a NHNN v\u1ec1 c\u00e1c t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o an to\u00e0n\u2026 V\u00ec l\u1ebd \u0111\u00f3, c\u00e1c NHTM ph\u00e1t h\u00e0nh tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu th\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o (ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o b\u1edfi c\u00e1c \u0111\u1eb7c th\u00f9 tr\u00ean) v\u00e0 quy tr\u00ecnh, th\u1ee7 t\u1ee5c c\u0169ng c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng kh\u00e1c bi\u1ec7t so v\u1edbi doanh nghi\u1ec7p s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t kinh doanh th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi nh\u00f3m b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n, theo TS. C\u1ea5n V\u0103n L\u1ef1c, hi\u1ec7n c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n \u0111\u00e3 ph\u00e1t h\u00e0nh g\u1ea7n 215.000 t\u1ef7 \u0111\u1ed3ng n\u0103m 2021 v\u00e0 10 th\u00e1ng \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2022 l\u00e0 50.000 t\u1ef7 \u0111\u1ed3ng tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu doanh nghi\u1ec7p x\u1ebfp th\u1ee9 2 v\u1ec1 kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng, sau c\u00e1c TCTD, v\u1edbi l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t trung b\u00ecnh l\u00e0 10,35%\/n\u0103m (theo VBMA).<\/span><\/p>\n

Hi\u1ec7n doanh nghi\u1ec7p b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n \u0111ang chi\u1ebfm t\u1ef7 tr\u1ecdng 20% l\u01b0\u1ee3ng tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu ph\u00e1t h\u00e0nh, ch\u1ec9 sau c\u00e1c TCTD. Theo \u0111\u00f3, l\u01b0\u1ee3ng tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu \u0111\u00e1o h\u1ea1n c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n c\u0169ng r\u1ea5t l\u1edbn, nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 2 n\u0103m t\u1edbi (kho\u1ea3ng 115 ngh\u00ecn t\u1ef7 \u0111\u1ed3ng\/n\u0103m), ch\u01b0a t\u00ednh ti\u1ec1n l\u00e3i.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tr\u00ean \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 b\u00e0i vi\u1ebft ph\u00e2n t\u00edch nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n trong n\u0103m 2023. RETI hy v\u1ecdng qu\u00fd \u0111\u1ed9c gi\u1ea3 \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t c\u00e1i nh\u00ecn bao qu\u00e1t v\u00e0 chuy\u00ean s\u00e2u nh\u1ea5t v\u1ec1 t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m m\u1edbi.<\/span><\/p>\n

T\u00ecm hi\u1ec3u th\u00eam c\u00e1c th\u00f4ng tin v\u1ec1 phan tich thi truong, ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh, ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 b\u1ea3n tin b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n t\u1ea1i chuy\u00ean m\u1ee5c Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n<\/a> v\u00e0 Nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh chuy\u00ean gia B\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n<\/a> t\u1ea1i RETI Blog<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n

C\u00e1c b\u00e0i vi\u1ebft ph\u00e2n t\u00edch th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt th\u1ee5 tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh v\u1ec1 b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1eadp nh\u1eadt v\u00e0 g\u1eedi \u0111\u1ebfn qu\u00fd \u0111\u1ed9c gi\u1ea3 v\u00e0o th\u1eddi gian s\u1edbm nh\u1ea5t<\/span><\/p>\n

M\u1ecdi th\u00f4ng tin chi ti\u1ebft vui l\u00f2ng li\u00ean h\u1ec7<\/span><\/p>\n

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